Saturday, March 28, 2009

Kassa on the Florida Derby

Kentucky Derby futures favorite Dunkirk, faces off with Fountain of Youth hero Quality Road, in the Grade 1 $750,000 Florida Derby. Run at 1 1/8th miles, The Florida Derby is Gulfstream Park's 10th and feature race Saturday, on one of the meet's premiere racing cards.

Untested in stakes class, the undefeated Dunkirk is likely in a "must-win" situation to secure enough graded earnings to enter the Kentucky Derby. Garret Gomez rides the long- striding $3.7 million purchase.

Quality Road stretches out to 1 1/8th after a blazing fast mile in the Fountain of Youth. Should he harness his speed going longer, he will be a Triple Crown candidate.
From a handicapping perspective, I really like the "Big 2" here. Quality Road figures to go out and cruise along the rail. Dunkirk can challenge on the 2nd turn and beat him in the stretch. I am looking for value in the 3rd slot. Theregoesjojo is a nice horse, but may flatten out with the distance. I'll use longshots Toby The Coal Man, and Sincero for 3rd in tris and supers. I'll also play an exacta with Dunkirk And Quality Road over Toby The Coal Man, and use Dunkirk and Quality Road with Artic Cry in the Daily Double.

Race 7. #9 Vitruvius
Race 8. #4 Rogue Victory
Race 9. #1 This Ones For Phil
Race 10.#4 Dunkirk
Race 11.#9 Artic Cry
Race 12.#5 Street Talk'n Man


Jay Kassa said...

That was a true Grade 1 3yo race. A real treat.

Pull the Pocket said...


Your analysis is very good in these pieces. Keep er going!