Alert!

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Platt Letter to Canadian Pari-Mutuel Agency

In Canada, there is a resolution with the regulator that will allow tracks to report payouts in increments that will not reflect the pool size. Jeff, on behalf of HANA and Canadian horseplayers has let the organization's thoughts be known. If you'd like to write the regulator and lend your support, please do. 



Re: Canada Gazette, Part I, Vol. 150, No. 24 — June 11
From: 

Jeff Platt, President
Horseplayers Association of North America
93 Campbell Road
Keswick, Virginia 22947

July 20, 2016

Mr. Baird,

I am writing you on behalf of over 3,000 members of the Horseplayers Association of North America – many of whom are Canadian – to express our profound objection to the language published in the Canada Gazette-Vol. 150, No. 24 — June 11, 2016 regarding “pay out price” definitions. 

As you know, pari-mutuel pools are finite and paid out on the sum of the pool minus takeout, divided by the amount of money in winning tickets. A ticket with a $100,000 pool after takeout with one winner holding a twenty cent ticket receives $100,000. If tracks are allowed to publish winning tickets in, for example, a $2 denomination (as proposed) the payout price shared with the public would be $1 million dollars.
This is a fictitious, made-up number. There was not one million dollars in the pool to pay out.  

This practice is clearly, we feel, anti-consumer, and should never be allowed. Another regulated business – the lottery – would (rightfully) not be able to promote and advertise a $1 winning ticket that truly paid $10 million, was $100 million at a $10 ticket denomination. Horse racing should not be allowed to do this, either. 

Pari-mutuel betting relies on regulators to protect the betting public. Promoting pools that are fiction or posting payouts that are not real strikes at the very heart of the game’s integrity. With close to $2B bet by customers in Canada, this is a very real problem that needs to be addressed. 

We propose that the language be changed to posting payouts at “the pools lowest base wager amount”, and “in no way will tracks be allowed to publish a payout greater than the money in the pool.”

We believe that will solve the problem, for an issue that has gone on for too long. 

Sincerely,
Jeff Platt
President, HANA

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Handicapping Helper for Canterbury Park - Thursday, July 14

The weekly handicapping helper for Thursday, July 14's program at Canterbury Park is now available.  Nine races are on tap tonight at Canterbury, with the first two being Quarter Horse races.  All seven Thoroughbred races are on TVG tonight, with pick 4s available starting in races three and six, and the pick 5 beginning in race five.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday July 14

Race 9:

Congratulate Me (#6)

-TimeformUS Pace Projector predicts a clear early lead in a race favoring horses on or near the front
-Third race off short layoff; back to back 100 Speed Figures after layoff, previous top only 78
-Outside post position should help ensure clean trip with a good break
5/2 on ML

http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 5-6-7-2
R2: 1-3-4-5
R3: 5-6-3-2
R4: 2-8-6-7
R5: 9-8-6-2
R6: 2-1-5-3
R7: 5-6-2-1
R8: 1-2-3-7
R9: 6-1-5-4

Pick 3: R1 5,6 w 1,3,4,5 w 5,6

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park)

1: 3/4/1
2: 3/6/4
3: 7/2/1
4: 3/8/6
5: 2/8/7
6: 7/1/3
7: 5/1/6
8: 1/6/2
9: 5/2/6

Early pick 4
3: 7
4: 368
5: 2678
6: 1237

Pick 5
5: 2678
6: 1237
7: 156
8: 1
9: 256

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (as noted earlier, the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-8,6,3
4-8,4,2
5-8,5,2
6-2,7,1
7-6,5,1
8-6,5,2
9-2,5,6

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Press Box
Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Thursday, July 7, 2016

Canterbury Park Handicapping Helper for July 7

The weekly handicapping helper for Thursday, July 7's program at Canterbury Park is now available.  There is some rain in the Shakopee, Minnesota, area this afternoon and is forecasted to continue this evening, so if you are playing tonight's races, keep an eye on changes and a possible move off the turf course.  There are nine races on the card, with the first two being Quarter Horse events

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday July 7

Race 3:

Stormquility (#5)
-Top last race TimeformUS Speed Figure with a 100
-Drops in class from stakes (TimeformUS Race Rating 110) to allowance (Race Rating of 101)
-Pace Projector predicts clear early lead in a race favoring horses on / near early lead
9/2 on ML

http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 4-7-3-1
R2: 11-8-6-3
R3: 3-5-2-4
R4: 7-5-4-6
R5: 5-8-7-1
R6: 6-8-3-1
R7: 3-5-7-8
R8: 3-2-4-7
R9: 4-1-3-2

Pick 3: R6 6,8 w ALL w 2,3

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park) 

1: 3/7/4
2: 8/7/6
3: on turf 4/5/2 off turf 6/5/2
4: on turf 1/3/7 off turf 6/5/7
5: on turf 8/4/5 off turf 6/3/7
6: 3/8/1
7: 7/6/2
8: 6/7/4
9: 4/6/1

Early pick 4
3: 1456
4: 13457
5: 4578
6: 3

Late pick 4
6: 138
7: 267
8: 2467
9: 4

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (note the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-6,4,5
4-5,1,7
5-5,8,7
6-3,8,6
7-7,5,8
8-2,4,1
9-4,1,2

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Press Box
Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Canterbury Park Handicapping Primer for June 30

The weekly handicapping helper for Thursday, June 30's program at Canterbury Park is now available.  Tonight's card has 10 races, with the final eight being Thoroughbred events.  The early pick 4 starts in race three, the late pick 4 in race seven, and the pick 5 in race six.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday June 30

Race 5:

Classy Teacher (#6)

-Top late speed rating in a race projected to have a fast pace by TimeformUS.
-First start for new trainer Joe Sharp, rated 89 of 100 with new acquistions.
-Poor last race can be ignored, was on dirt---never hit board in four tries on surface.

4/1 on ML

http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 8-7-1-2
R2: 3-4-2-8
R3: 1-5-6-2
R4: 3-7-6-5
R5: 3-6-5-7
R6: 3-2-5-1
R7: 3-1-5-2
R8: 9-5-7-3
R9: 4-3-6-5
R10: 6-5-1-2

Best Bet: R2 #3 Love James Bond

P3: R3 1 w 3,5,6,7 w 3,6,7

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park) 

1: 3/7/8
2: 1/4/8
3: 6/5/3
4: 7/2/3
5: 3/2/5
6: 1/6/2
7: 6/9/3
8: 9/3/4
9: 1/4/3
10: 6/1/3

Early pick 4
3: 13456
4: 12367
5: 235
6: 1

Late pick 4
7: 369
8: 23479
9: 1347
10: 6

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (note the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-1,2,5
4-1,2,7
5-6,2,3
6-6,1,5
7-1,2,8
8-9,3,4
9-4,3,7
10-1,6,5

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Handicapping Canterbury Park for Thursday, June 23

Here are the selections from our group for this Thursday's card at Canterbury Park.  The pick 5 begins in race six and the late pick 4 in race seven.  TVG will have coverage of races six through ten.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together. 

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus At Canterbury on Thursday June 23rd

Race 9:

My Brother Dan (#7)

Co-top last race TimeformUS Speed Figure in the field with a 101 (tied with 5)

Second start for new trainer after claim; ran lifetime best in first try and now moves to allowance ranks

Projected to be on a clear lead in the TimeformUS Pace Projector in a race that should favor horses on / near early lead

3/1 on ML

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)
R1: 1-3-4-8
R2: 3-2-5-8
R3: 5-4-1-2
R4: 5-7-2-4
R5: 7-6-12-1
R6: 7-2-4-1
R7: 1-4-5-3
R8: 2-5-8-7
R9: 5-7-2-4
R10: 6-4-7-3

P3: R6 -- 7 w 1,3,4,5 w 2,5,8

http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park)
1: 4/2/5
2: 8/2/7
3: 4/1/2
4: 4/7/2
5: 1/2/6
6: 1/4/7
7: 3/5/1
8: 4/5/2
9: 4/2/5
10: 4/6/1

Early pick 4
3: 1245
4: 4
5: 126712
6: 1247

Late pick 4
7: 12357
8: 45
9: 4
10: 123456

Pick 5
6: 1247
7: 12357
8: 45
9: 4
10: 146

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.  Johnny tweeted earlier today that he is a big fan of tonight's early pick 4 sequence that begins in race three.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Handicapping Canterbury Park for Thursday, June 16 - Pick 5 Debuts This Evening

This marks the second week of Thursday cards at Canterbury Park, and the selections from our group are now available.  Canterbury Park has added a pick 5 to their wagering menu starting tonight.  It is a normal pick 5 wager, not a jackpot, and the takeout is 18%.  The pick 5, which is a 50-cent base wager, starts in race six tonight.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus At Canterbury on Thursday June 16th

Race 4:
Mr Leadbox (#5)

Made big move on the turn last out, gaining 5.5 lengths into a slow pace before being cut off in his second career start on turf---romping winner in 1st turf try

Race is projected by TimeformUS to feature a fast pace; only seven are entered, but six have a running style of speed or tracker

Top late speed rating in the race of 73, 10 higher than any other entrant

4/1 on ML
http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 2-3-1-4
R2: 3-8-4-7
R3: 2-5-6-3
R4: 2-6-5-4
R5: 12-6-9-5
R6: 2-3-1-4
R7: 5-8-2-7
R8: 8-3-9-1
R9: 7-1-2-4
R10: 1-6-3-2

Late Pick 4: 2,5,8 w 8 w 1,7 w 1

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park) 

1: 2/3/4
2: 8/5/6
3: 2/3/6
4: 5/2/3
5: 9/1/5
6: 4/2/6
7: 8/3/7
8: 9/8/1
9: 2/4/1
10: 1/2/4

Early pick 4
3: 1236
4: 12345
5: 9
6: 246

Late pick 4.
7: 13578
8: 16789
9: 124
10: 1

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (note the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

R3:  5-2-6
R4:  6-2-4
R5:  9-6-5
R6:  6-2-5
R7:  5-4-1
R8:  8-9-7
R9:  2-1-7
R10:  1-4-2

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

California Racing: To Hell with the bettors

Quote from a column written by Tom Jicha that appeared at the HORSERACEINSIDER site Wed. June 15, 2016:
California Horse Racing Board member Steve Beneto said, “To Hell with the bettors,” a couple of weeks ago. Golden Gate and its jockeys put this attitude into practice in a big way on Sunday.
The pity is, this happened at the tail end of the most glorious non-Breeders’ Cup weekend in memory, the Belmont Stakes Festival. 
Instead of everyone feeling upbeat about the game, the latest screwing of the customers is the topic among those who follow and participate in racing most avidly. 
You can only abuse people so long before they get disgusted and walk away. Indeed, there are already calls for a boycott of California racing as a result of this.
MIAMI, June 16, 2016--Golden Gate had a jackpot of almost $2 million Sunday in its version of the Rainbow 6. Because it was closing day, the pool had to be distributed without the “single winner” qualifier. As usually happens, this attracted enormous participation of more than $4 million from bettors nationwide. 
In the midst of the wager, the jockeys decided the turf course was unsafe and they refused to ride the 10th and 12th races on the grass. This was after they had already ridden three races on the turf, including the 8th race, which was part of the jackpot sequence. 
There was no change in the weather or description of the “firm” course. Maybe a new listing needs to be created, “chopped up.” 
If there was a potential problem, the riders should have informed management after one of the earlier grass races, before the Rainbow 6 began. They were not oblivious to the extraordinary action taking place Sunday.
The jockeys’ decision necessitated making the 10th and 12th races “all’s.” The Rainbow 6 became a pick 4, which resulted in a tiny payout of $146.16 per winning 50-cent ticket.
The whales and syndicates, which invested tens of thousands, were royally shafted. So were smaller players who pooled resources to cover more combinations.
This abomination could have a carryover effect—excuse the term--on all such mandatory payoff pools. A reluctance to jump in with both fists might develop out of fear of an encore wherever the bet is offered.
There is shared culpability here. Golden Gate, as painful as it might have been, should have announced a total refund when it learned two of the final three races would have to be all’s. Management could not have been unaware that the turf course was problematic. 
With the huge pool anticipated, no turf races should have been scheduled. They were, of course, because grass races draw bigger fields, which translates to more combinations having to be covered.
The jockeys involved have to receive sanctions. They were aware of what was at stake. The course couldn’t have been that bad. They rode it three times earlier in the day without incident. Nevertheless, they made a decision that gave the entire sport a black eye with repercussions still to be felt.
The CHRB should issue fines and/or suspensions as the least of the consequences. The chances of this happening are, of course, nil. As Beneto said, “To Hell with the bettors.”

Read the full article at the link:
http://www.horseraceinsider.com/Ante-Post/comments/06152016-news-was-not-all-good-on-belmont-weekend

.




Thursday, June 9, 2016

Canterbury Park Picks, Stats and More for Thursday, June 9th's Evening Card

Starting with this Thursday's card, we'll be posting some picks and statistics for each Thursday night program at Canterbury Park from some familiar faces from Horseplayer Monthly and elsewhere. 

Canterbury Park slashed takeouts for this meet, and they are definitely worth a look.

We also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing Canterbury.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Stats from Charlie Davis - inside posts have been good on the dirt!

All dirt:


Dirt Sprints:


Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus At Canterbury on Thursday June 9th

Race 5:

D R C’s Pretty Sky (#1)

Tries turf sprint for the first time in 11th career start; TimeformUS Breeding Rating of 90 for turf sprints, only 77 for dirt sprints.

Top trainer Villafranco (98 TimeformUS Trainer Rating) ships to Canterbury for first time this year with this horse from Prairie Meadows---no turf course there.

Overcame three horse speed battle while on the outside to win last with a 100 TimeformUS Speed Figure in minor stakes race; best last race number in field

4/1 on ML

http://canterburypark.com/lowesttakeout/~LiveRacing/CanterburyParkLowestTakeoutinAmerica/tabid/556/Default.aspx

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 5-4-3-2

R2: 2-3-6-4

R3: 9-2-7-4

R4: 7-11-9-5

R5: 1-2-3-8

R6: 4-1-5-3

R7: 5-4-1-3

R8: 5-6-3-1

R9: 4-2-6-1

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park) 

1: 6/2/4
2: 2/3/5
3: 2/4/10
4: 5/6/9
5: 1/5/2
6: 4/2/3
7: 7/5/2
8: 5/6/3
9:  6/2/4

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (note the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-7,9,10
4-5,8,6
5-8,9,7
6-3,1,5
7-2,4,7
8-6,3,5
9-2,5,3

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach