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Friday, October 4, 2013

Happy Keeneland Opener!

One of the top meets for horseplayers begins today at Keeneland. Keeneland has 16% takeout in the WPS and 19% in all exotics. They are also the #1 ranked track in North America via HANA's annual tabulation. 

The fields are deep, and as per usual, shippers from just about everywhere fill the cards.

Here are a couple of places that we find are helpful to discern this tough handicapping venue, that can be lucrative if we work at it.

Jeremy Plonk is Keeneland's lead handicapper and he leaves no stone unturned. He helped create the polycapping database and does a good a job as any public handicapper in explaining his selections.

You can access Jeremy's thoughts each day of the meet here.

Also, we at HANA have added statistics and historical notes on previous fall meets in the Horseplayer Monthly (pages 15 to 20). Jeff Platt, HANA President and creator of software Jcapper, compiled those items for you, on those six pages.

Remember, as with any handicapping technique, the past does not necessarily predict the future.

The rail was poor in sprints, but has the track changed?

Julien Leparoux owns the fall meet, but will he once again?

Trainer Mike Maker was almost automatic in the spring. Will all his stock fire this fall?

One thing that seems to stay the same at Keeneland is class and fitness. As you can see in the Horseplayer Monthly statistics pack, shippers from lower class venues, like River Downs, Mountaineer and Ellis Park don't seem to fare well, while Churchill (even before Churchill ran a meet before the Keeneland fall meet) and Saratoga stock fare pretty well.

Good luck if you are playing the opener and enjoy the meet!




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