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Sunday, January 22, 2012

Weekend Handicapping: A Sweet Chant for Ready Signal at Gulfstream today

The Lecomte turned out to be what the form should us it would be, wide open.  It was a tough race to handicap due to all the angles that each horse brought into the race.  Mr. Bowling, our second selection, probably exhibited the most.  Coming in off a layoff, key race factor, good trainer in Graded Stakes and a jockey switch.  If you added up all the angles for each horse, I have a feeling Mr. Bowling had the most.  He ran a good race and scored a nice payday for the effort.

Today we move back to Gulfstream for the 10th race.   The 19th running of the Sweetest Chant for 3YO fillies on the turf going a mile.  A purse of $100,000 is out there for the nine entrants.  This race is not as wide open as yesterday affair at the Fair Grounds; in fact, we have five returnees from the Ginger Brew we handicapped back on Christmas Eve. 

Contenders:

#1  Ready Signal ML 6/1

This was our Bombs Away selection in the Ginger Brew and finished second to Frolics Revenge.   She took the lead in that race after breaking from the 12 slot and almost hung on to win.  Today she is cutting back in distance, getting a favorable post position and I like that Amy Tarrant is bringing her back right away.   It looks like this filly is hitting her stride.

#9 Dayatthespa  ML 5/2

She is making her first start since November after a miserable effort in the Breeder’s Cup.  There is little doubt that she has speed to take this crowd, likes to get out front at this distance.  The only concern is the layoff, Chad Brown has a good record with layoff horses, but the #1 and #5 are in a nice groove.  If she’s ready then she could easily run away with it.

#5  Frolic’s Revenge ML 5/1

I ignored this filly in the Ginger Brew because she had no turf record, and she proved me wrong with a great effort to win it from Ready Signal.  The two issues I have today, is did that last effort  out take too much out of her and not happy to see Paco Lopez not riding.  Nothing wrong with Lezcano and I could be over analyzing it but coupled with never having won two in a row, not sure it’s her day. 

Dark Horse:     
                                                                                                                                                            
#2  Wholelottashakin ML 8/1

This is another filly out of the Ginger Brew who had some trouble getting pinched off at the start.  This is an instinct play, feeling the cut back in distance plays to her speed, Bush and Solis have to be respected and with the improving speed figures of this lightly raced filly, she should be in the hunt at the end. I see a lot of upside and Bush has a killer turf record.
  
Bombs Away:

#7  Slews Exchange ML 10/1

She won her last start here at GP in a sprint turf event, posting a respectable 74 Beyer.  Stretching out for the first time and bumping up in class could be a big wall.  What makes her dangerous though is that Plesa is a sharpshooter with these kind of horses, workouts have been good and he makes a big change here and gives JohnnyV the reins.  One last thing she has the ability to fight through difficult circumstances and that tells me she is a tough one.

Selections:

1 – 9 – 5   

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