Canterbury Park Handicapping Helper for July 28

After the cancellation of last Thursday's card at Canterbury Park due to extreme heat, we're happy to resume the Thursday Handicapping Helper today.  Ten races are on tap tonight at Canterbury, with the first two being Quarter Horse races.  All of the Thoroughbred races are on TVG, with pick 4s available starting in races three and seven, and the pick 5, with a small carryover, beginning in race six.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday July 28

Race 3:

Life a Riley (#8)
-Third race off long layoff and improving towards best numbers; trainer 66 rating overall (TimeformUS) but 90 3rd off layoff
-Finished good closing second in dirt sprint last out while racing against strong speed bias, previously only one second in seven fast track dirt starts
-Draws third leading rider at the meet, 17% wins---big upgrade over previous rider, 5%
12/1 on ML

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 2-4-7-8
R2: 8-5-4-2
R3: 9-7-3-1
R4: 10-1-7-2
R5: 5-3-2-1
R6: 8-2-5-7
R7: 3-7-1-2
R8: 4-8-1-2
R9: 3-4-5-2
R10: 5-7-3-2

Best Bet: R4 #10 English Town (10-1 ml) -- By English Channel o/o a Cape Town mare he's bred to improve for this switch to turf. Not only is he back in v non-winners, but he is in for a tag for the first time for trainer Bernell Rhone who typically spots his new acquisitions realistically.

Pick 3: R4 1,2,10 w 3,5 w 2,5,7,8

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park)

1: 3/7/6
2: 5/7/9
3: 7/10/6
4: 9/7/3
5: 1/4/3
6: 7/5/2
7: 3/6/1
8: 9/6/2
9: 4/5/2
10: 3/5/7

Early pick 4
3: 267910
4: 3791012
5: 1234
6: 7

Pick 5
6: 24678
7: 3
8: 2369
9: 4
10: 3567

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (as noted earlier, the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-1,6,9

4-9,7,6

5-3,2,1

6-7,5,4

7-3,7,1

8-9,2,1

9-2,3,5

10-5,6,7

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Press Box
Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Platt Letter to Canadian Pari-Mutuel Agency

In Canada, there is a resolution with the regulator that will allow tracks to report payouts in increments that will not reflect the pool size. Jeff, on behalf of HANA and Canadian horseplayers has let the organization's thoughts be known. If you'd like to write the regulator and lend your support, please do. 

Re: Canada Gazette, Part I, Vol. 150, No. 24 — June 11. 

From: 

Jeff Platt, President

Horseplayers Association of North America

93 Campbell Road
Keswick, Virginia 22947

July 20, 2016

Mr. Baird,

I am writing you on behalf of over 3,000 members of the Horseplayers Association of North America – many of whom are Canadian – to express our profound objection to the language published in the Canada Gazette-Vol. 150, No. 24 — June 11, 2016 regarding “pay out price” definitions. 

As you know, pari-mutuel pools are finite and paid out on the sum of the pool minus takeout, divided by the amount of money in winning tickets. A ticket with a $100,000 pool after takeout with one winner holding a twenty cent ticket receives $100,000. If tracks are allowed to publish winning tickets in, for example, a $2 denomination (as proposed) the payout price shared with the public would be $1 million dollars.

This is a fictitious, made-up number. There was not one million dollars in the pool to pay out.  

This practice is clearly, we feel, anti-consumer, and should never be allowed. Another regulated business – the lottery – would (rightfully) not be able to promote and advertise a $1 winning ticket that truly paid $10 million, was $100 million at a $10 ticket denomination. Horse racing should not be allowed to do this, either. 

Pari-mutuel betting relies on regulators to protect the betting public. Promoting pools that are fiction or posting payouts that are not real strikes at the very heart of the game’s integrity. With close to $2B bet by customers in Canada, this is a very real problem that needs to be addressed. 

We propose that the language be changed to posting payouts at “the pools lowest base wager amount”, and “in no way will tracks be allowed to publish a payout greater than the money in the pool.”

We believe that will solve the problem, for an issue that has gone on for too long. 

Sincerely,

Jeff Platt

President, HANA

Handicapping Helper for Canterbury Park - Thursday, July 14

The weekly handicapping helper for Thursday, July 14's program at Canterbury Park is now available.  Nine races are on tap tonight at Canterbury, with the first two being Quarter Horse races.  All seven Thoroughbred races are on TVG tonight, with pick 4s available starting in races three and six, and the pick 5 beginning in race five.

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday July 14

Race 9:

Congratulate Me (#6)

-TimeformUS Pace Projector predicts a clear early lead in a race favoring horses on or near the front
-Third race off short layoff; back to back 100 Speed Figures after layoff, previous top only 78
-Outside post position should help ensure clean trip with a good break
5/2 on ML

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 5-6-7-2
R2: 1-3-4-5
R3: 5-6-3-2
R4: 2-8-6-7
R5: 9-8-6-2
R6: 2-1-5-3
R7: 5-6-2-1
R8: 1-2-3-7
R9: 6-1-5-4

Pick 3: R1 5,6 w 1,3,4,5 w 5,6

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park)

1: 3/4/1

2: 3/6/4
3: 7/2/1
4: 3/8/6
5: 2/8/7
6: 7/1/3
7: 5/1/6
8: 1/6/2
9: 5/2/6

Early pick 4
3: 7
4: 368
5: 2678
6: 1237

Pick 5
5: 2678
6: 1237
7: 156
8: 1
9: 256

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (as noted earlier, the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-8,6,3
4-8,4,2
5-8,5,2
6-2,7,1
7-6,5,1
8-6,5,2
9-2,5,6

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Press Box
Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach

Canterbury Park Handicapping Helper for July 7

The weekly handicapping helper for Thursday, July 7's program at Canterbury Park is now available.  There is some rain in the Shakopee, Minnesota, area this afternoon and is forecasted to continue this evening, so if you are playing tonight's races, keep an eye on changes and a possible move off the turf course.  There are nine races on the card, with the first two being Quarter Horse events

Don't forget, we also have a free guide to Canterbury, courtesy of Equinometry, with historical stats, racing styles, and other thoughts that should help you if you don't have experience playing there.  We'd like to thank Lenny Moon for putting the guide together.

Craig Milkowski (Chief Figure Maker for TimeformUS)

Horse in Focus at Canterbury on Thursday July 7

Race 3:

Stormquility (#5)
-Top last race TimeformUS Speed Figure with a 100
-Drops in class from stakes (TimeformUS Race Rating 110) to allowance (Race Rating of 101)
-Pace Projector predicts clear early lead in a race favoring horses on / near early lead
9/2 on ML

Candice Hare (Canterbury Park national handicapping correspondent)

R1: 4-7-3-1
R2: 11-8-6-3
R3: 3-5-2-4
R4: 7-5-4-6
R5: 5-8-7-1
R6: 6-8-3-1
R7: 3-5-7-8
R8: 3-2-4-7
R9: 4-1-3-2

Pick 3: R6 6,8 w ALL w 2,3

Brian Arrigoni (Paddock analyst for Canterbury Park) 

1: 3/7/4

2: 8/7/6

3: on turf 4/5/2 off turf 6/5/2

4: on turf 1/3/7 off turf 6/5/7

5: on turf 8/4/5 off turf 6/3/7

6: 3/8/1

7: 7/6/2

8: 6/7/4

9: 4/6/1

Early pick 4

3: 1456

4: 13457

5: 4578

6: 3

Late pick 4

6: 138

7: 267

8: 2467

9: 4

Dave - The Track Phantom - cut his teeth as a handicapper at Canterbury and has been having an excellent meet thus far. Dave has agreed to provide this Thursday's sheet for free!

You can see it right here!

Thanks Dave. Please visit his site for more information, and to look at his other tracks.

Jeff Platt of Jcapper software also has agreed to post his core selections, directly from the software.

Here are his power ratings (note the first two races are Quarter Horse races, so it starts in race three)

3-6,4,5

4-5,1,7

5-5,8,7

6-3,8,6

7-7,5,8

8-2,4,1

9-4,1,2

Johnny Love's thoughts on the card from the Minneapolis Star-Tribune are available here.

Other Twitter handles to follow for Canterbury:

Press Box
Bruce Meyer
Doug McPherson
Wes Reynolds
Andrew Malecha
Zach